Why Did BlackBerry Fail? The One Assumption Behind the Fall

Why Did BlackBerry Fail?

BlackBerry assumed that what made it great, the keyboard, the secure network, and enterprise email, would stay what customers valued most. It stopped asking how to make the product better, even if better meant abandoning what it loved, and the market moved on.

This is the cautionary tale in Chapter 2 of Become Your Version of Rich by Dr. Paul Borosky, DBA, MBA. It pairs with what creativity means in business and the method in how to be more creative. If you lead a team through a shift like this one, see what change management is. The full set lives in the Become Your Version of Rich guide.

From Canada’s Most Valuable Company to a Leadership Exit

At the top, RIM had nearly everything. Four years later, it had a new management team.

$83 billionRIM’s market value at its June 2008 peak
19.9%RIM’s share of worldwide smartphone sales in Q1 2009
$137.41 to $14.80Share price on the Toronto exchange, mid-2008 to end of 2011
  • 2007The iPhone launches. RIM executives publicly play down its influence. In the book Losing the Signal, co-CEO Mike Lazaridis is reported to say the iPhone “is going to collapse the network,” and Jim Balsillie to answer, “It’s OK. We’ll be fine.”
  • Mid-2008RIM peaks near $83 billion, ahead of Royal Bank as Canada’s most valuable company. Its touchscreen answer, the BlackBerry Storm, arrives the same year.
  • 2009RIM reaches 19.9 percent of worldwide smartphone sales in the first quarter, up from 13.3 percent a year earlier. Reports describe the Storm’s reception as poor.
  • 2010 to 2011The PlayBook tablet struggles with a thin app selection. RIM cuts 11 percent of its workforce in June 2011 and suffers a four day outage in October.
  • January 2012Co-CEOs Mike Lazaridis and Jim Balsillie step down under investor pressure.

Sources: Global News, RIM’s rise and fall: a short history of Research In Motion. Maclean’s, BlackBerry plummets as iPhone and Android sales soar. Daily FT (Sri Lanka), BlackBerry co-founders knocked off billionaires’ list. Network World, Apple and RIM gain as smartphone sales grow (Gartner figures). TechRadar, The 11 moments that defined BlackBerry’s rise and fall. BGR, Here’s what BlackBerry’s co-CEOs said the first time they saw the iPhone (quotes as reported from Losing the Signal).

Sources differ on the exact peak and on some figures. The shape of the story does not.

Everything Rested on One Belief

Dr. Paul asks you to notice what made RIM great. A physical keyboard people loved, the best mobile email of its day, a private messaging network, and a security reputation. All of that was real. They had won.

The trouble was not a lack of creativity. RIM had been wildly creative on the way up. The trouble was one assumption underneath every later choice: that those same strengths would stay what customers valued most. The company stopped asking the question this chapter is built on. How can we make this better, even if better means abandoning what we love?

Dr. Paul reads what followed as dominoes. Having bet on the keyboard, you have to prove the touchscreen is a fad. Then you have to explain away the app economy, then full touchscreens, then Android. Each denial required the next. Reports at the time describe the Storm as a defensive answer with a poor touchscreen experience, and the money, in Dr. Paul’s phrase, went where it always goes in these stories: into defending the past instead of inventing the future. That reading is interpretation. The dates, prices, and share figures above are the record.

When the Strong Vision Stops Listening

This is the part of the story most managers can use.

Dr. Paul gives the managerial version in Become Your Version of Rich.

From Chapter 2 of Become Your Version of Rich

Sometimes the person with the strong vision stops listening. They get so certain of their own idea that they stop taking input, and that is when creativity curdles into blindness. RIM was too in love with its own answer to hear the market telling it the question had changed. Your version is falling in love with your own plan or product and refusing the feedback that would have saved it.

The fix is the opposite instinct. When you combine your creativity with other people’s, inviting their input and letting it change your thinking, you do not add creativity. You multiply it. Stay in love with the question, not with your answer. That is the test in the method’s fifth step, where real customers outrank your own opinion.

Run a BlackBerry Check on Your Own Team

You may never run a phone company. You will run a plan that someone on your team is in love with, maybe you. Three places to apply the check.

In Planning Reviews

Invite the strongest objection

Ask one person to argue against the plan, and reward them for it. A plan that survives honest pushback is stronger. A plan nobody dares challenge is where BlackBerry lived. The effective meeting guide shows how to make the room safe for it.

When Customers Change

Watch behavior, not opinion

List what customers do, not what they say, and compare it to the assumption your product rests on. When behavior and assumption disagree, believe behavior. Use root cause analysis to find which belief is failing.

When You Must Change

Name what you are willing to give up

Write down what you love about the current model, then ask what you would build if you started today. Then plan the move with change management so your people come with you.

Hindsight Makes Everyone Look Foolish

Read This First

BlackBerry’s leaders were capable people who faced a hard shift. Many factors hit the company, including apps, platforms, supply, and timing, and no single page captures them all. This page isolates one lesson, an unquestioned assumption, and draws it at the level of the decision. It is not a verdict on the people.

Three Steps for This Week

  1. Write down the one assumption your current plan depends on most. Ask: what would have to be true for this to be wrong?
  2. Ask two customers or front-line team members what they do instead of using your product, and listen without defending.
  3. Schedule a set review date. Decide in advance what evidence would change the plan, and write it down.

The review date matters. It turns a feeling into a rule, the same way a driver statement does. For another company that confused size with a destination, read why WeWork failed.

The BlackBerry Story Closes Chapter 2

Become Your Version of Rich by Dr. Paul Borosky, DBA, MBA

This page covers one cautionary tale. Become Your Version of Rich places it beside three people who used creativity and what each one did with it.

  • The seven-step creativity method and the stop rule
  • Nikola Tesla and Benjamin Franklin, two ways creativity plays out
  • Napoleon, and why creativity with no destination does not save you
  • The BlackBerry cautionary tale and the question to keep asking
  • Daily Actions, and a 30-day plan built to make you ship
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Common Questions About BlackBerry’s Failure

Why did BlackBerry fail?
BlackBerry assumed that its keyboard, secure network, and enterprise email would stay what customers valued most. When the iPhone and Android changed the market, it defended the old model, including a touchscreen phone that was poorly received, and lost share. Co-CEOs Mike Lazaridis and Jim Balsillie stepped down in January 2012.
How much was BlackBerry worth at its peak?
Research In Motion, as the company was then called, reached a market value of roughly $83 billion in mid-2008, according to reports at the time. Its Toronto share price peaked at $137.41 and fell to $14.80 by the end of 2011.
What can a business owner learn from BlackBerry?
Keep asking how to make your product better, even if better means giving up what you love. Invite the strongest objection to your plan, watch what customers do rather than what they say, and set a review date with rules for what evidence would change your mind.

Dr. Paul Borosky, DBA, MBA

Business Consultant, Author & Educator | 14+ Years | 1,000+ Clients Served

DBA, National University MBA, Focus in Finance, Webster University

Dr. Paul Borosky, DBA, MBA is a business consultant, author, and educator, and the founder of Quality Business Plan. He helps small business owners across the United States and Canada with business planning, financial modeling, fractional CFO services, and the everyday problems of businesses that depend too much on their owners. He is the creator of Dr. Paul's Organize-Plan-Grow™ Strategy, author of numerous published books on Amazon, and publisher of over 1,000 business-focused videos on YouTube. He has taught as an adjunct college instructor and teaches in Florida public schools.

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This page is for general educational purposes only. It is not investment, tax, legal, financial, or retirement advice, and it does not guarantee any particular financial result. The examples, figures, and calculations are illustrative planning tools, not recommendations. Before making significant financial decisions, consult a qualified professional.